Latest Posts by Sir Stanley
My honest prediction is that eventually we could have between 70-80% of the UK infected (as above) - there's no reason why not. Herd immunity may push the numbers down but not until 60% are infected. There's about 68 million of us. The death rate is 2-3% let's be conservative and put it at 2%. That's 1.36 million deaths! Sobering.
You can also expect about 15% require hospitalisation (I agree above). That's 10.2 million.
The NHS won't cope.
The 1918 flu pandemic took 2 years to die down (and 50 million people died Worldwide). I think it will be quicker today due to more people being on the earth making contact easier and travel. The world-wide spread is much more for corona virus after 3 months than it was for the 1918 flu. My guess it will be a year at least till we see the light at the end of the tunnel.
As for treatments - well they may be too late to have any impact.
It's not a pretty scenario and I hope I'm wrong, but what is for sure is that it's going to get very messy very soon. People need to take this very very seriously and at the moment there's a lot of denial in the communities and that includes Government.
I can see some logic in the current strategy. It's a bit like controlling a dam with a big crack in it. Let the water out too quickly and you won't be able to control the outcome. Don't do anything and there will be a catastrophic event. Do it slowly and give yourself time to fix the problem. The numbers right now I'm sure are two orders of magnitude lower than reality. The growth is exponential. Not closing schools, not cancelling big events, not persuading people to stay at home will push us to a spike that the NHS can't cope with. I think we need to get people off the streets now.
You're probably thinking I'm crazy - I hope I am.
seasider wrote:I think it's odds on. Liverpool will not be happy.
Wonder if there is a possibility that the season will get cancelled.
seasider wrote:Taking my Son to his first ever live football match. Really hope it goes ahead or not behind closed doors.
Neil Critchley says Blackpool will continue to prepare as normal for this weekend's game against Sunderland until they hear any further guidance.— Matt Scrafton (@matt_scrafton) March 12, 2020
You should have taken him to his first game at an easy one where he would have been enthused by the win. Tranmere for example 😕
Alderneytangerine wrote:Maybe you are right about discussing other teams, but surely Blackpool is the team we want to talk about when they are playing. I live in Spain and I haven't missed a game on iflollow. But someone who lived in Devon could not get anyone to tell him what was happening at Fleetwood. Also I have had shit from some of your members who think they are funny, but the truth is they are really wa...ears.
What are wa...ears? I'm still trying to work out what the three missing letters are. A prize for the best word. It's like Countdown without the crumpet.